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Sunday, February 5, 2012

What an ex-gratia payment Is

Ex-gratia payments are made without legal acknowledgement of fault or liability. These types of payments are used in lieu of financial settlements that imply wrongdoing or contractual responsibility. The reasoning behind ex-gratia payments is by not admitting fault or wrongdoing, a defending litigant, accused or contractually obliged entity can avoid higher costs arising out of acknowledgement of responsibility, or fault.

In the insurance industry, ex-gratia payments may be assessed retroactively through legal process, or preemptively to bypass lawsuit, or additional financial obligations. If a company is not insured for particular liabilities, it may be to its advantage to issue ex-gratia payment in instance of undue hardship or circumstances beyond reasonable control of contractors. For example, irrespective of whether or not a business is insured for particular hardship of a contractor, according to Dr. Chundana Jayalath, a Chartered Quantity Surveryor, ex-gratia payments may be offered to contractors experiencing unforeseen adversity to avoid escalating costs.

In some circumstance ex-gratia payments may be simpler than others. For example, when elaborate insurance contract terms become involved, the possibility of misinterpretation of rights and responsibilities may arise. According to Robert M. Hall, a consulting lawyer and reinsurance expert, reinsurance companies may sometimes want to more closely examine their insurance settlements as ex-gratia payments may be unknowingly made under terms of contract.

The reason for Hall’s comments are due in part to renegotiation of insurance terms. In insurance, risk from insurance polices may be diversified by selling policies to reinsurers. Since an insurance settlement involves acknowledging contractual obligation to compensate the insured if the terms require such, a reinsurer is essentially agreeing to those responsibilities. However, in legal cases discussed by Hall, insurance terms that were re-negotiated did not warrant settlement making payment of such claims ex-gratia.

Sometimes, a court ruling may be required to determine if a payment is a settlement, an ex-gratia settlement or an ex-gratia payment. This is evident in the court cases discussed by Robert M. Hall. Moreover, Hall claims, a reinsurer, or company that obtains an insurance policy from an insurer looking to diversify its risk may not always be liable for insurance claims. Consequently, the inspection of legal contracts to avoid unintended ex-gratia payment may be justified in some instances.

In summary, ex-gratia payments constitute liability free compensation or imbursement for reasons of bypassing higher settlement expenses, legal costs or future liability for which non-ex gratia payment would create precedent or argument for. Employers or contractors may be able to avoid higher expenses by providing timely ex-gratia payment for reasons such as waiver of liability, undue hardship, or for contract mismanagement. The need for ex-gratia payment may be established internally within a corporation, or retro-actively as determined by a legal authority.

Friday, February 3, 2012

Assessment of January's Drop In Unemployment

Unemployment is a number widely quoted and reported in news headlines all over the national and around the World. It influences stock markets and is used as gauge of economic progress. Good as it is, it is also based on a sample comprising less than 4/100ths of a percent of the U.S. population and gets lower when people drop out of the workforce.

Complete article link: http://www.helium.com/items/2287822-unemployment-rate-at-new-low

Financial News 02/03/2012

• BLS: January unemployment rate 8.3%, participation rate down to 63.7%
• CNN Money: U.S. average 30-yr mortgage rates hit 3.87%
• Fox 10: Linking checking and savings accounts avoids costly overdraft fees
• Telegraph: Shell warns geopolitical events could lower oil to $70/bl
• NPR: Eurozone holiday season sales dropped .4%, yr over yr down 1.6%
• MW: Greek debt write offs may affect central banks
• BBC: Recording expenditures as stock sales magically removes debt
• Reuters: Norway in housing bubble, so is Canada per the Economist

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Possible Reasons For January's Stock Market Rally

Image attribution: Jannoon028. Standard royalty free license

A compounding of auspicious financial events quite possibly contributed to January's large stock market rally. Factors include central bank activity, market psychology, high frequency stock trading and the January effect.

Complete article link: http://www.helium.com/items/2287464-january-stock-market-rally

How to pick lower risk stocks

Image attribution: 1000ThangLong. CC BY 3.0

Picking lower risk stocks involves finding good returns on investment for low risk. Ideally low-risk stocks are as safe as a savings account insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). A good starting point in knowing how to pick conservative stocks is understanding how much stock to invest in, and for how long as even invested money in conservative stocks becomes risky if that investment may be needed in the short-term.

• Protect against risk

A 'conservative stock' that maintains or grows value during most parts of an economic cycle doesn’t necessarily mean it's conservative during a recession; this possibility makes the whole concept of conservative stock somewhat fallacious. That is to say, since market and economic conditions can change relatively quickly, unless one has picked conservative stocks able to withstand share price volatility, then the value of those shares can drop.

• Identify low-risk

If there is such a thing as a conservative stock, one’s chances of picking the right one might be somewhere between finding the holy grail and spotting a $1 bill in a parking lot. In other words, be prepared to do some research. An important step in performing due diligence on investments is defining low-risk. This could mean a number of things; high dividend, low beta, and consistent profit margin are what some might look for. Moreover, according to Investopedia, low beta measures the risk of volatility a stock's price experiences relative to movements in the broader market. 

• Forecast future risk

Just because a company is low risk in the present doesn’t mean it will be a conservative stock in the future. It is not impossible for a large, stable blue chip stock to take a turn for the worse. To illustrate how a blue chip stock can decline, according to Yahoo Finance.com, Merck & Co,. Inc. (MRK), the large pharmaceutical firm, dropped from an all time high over $80.00 per share in the early 2000’s, to the low $30s in 2011. A part of the risk for Merck might of included expiration of drug patents and not enough high demand patent protected drugs to grow revenue.

• Assess capital gains

To pick a conservative stock, the value of the company’s shares, or total investment in the stock, should also rise over time. The conditions for long-term capital gains are quite diverse and vary by industry, economy, and market conditions. An investor can increase the  chance of capital gains by locating a well managed company with strong financial statements. Companies that have a high percentage of market share and consistent product or service demand  have a potentially increased chance of consistent capital gains.

• Evaluate capital structure

The capital asset management of a business is also an indicator of how 'conservative' a stock is. This is because use of capital in part indicates how a company plans to grow, maintain revenue stream, and improve profit margin. Companies that invest in projects with high internal rates of return, and operate with low costs and efficient  cash conversion cycles are examples of potentially good capital structure.

Summary

Selecting conservative stocks is not really a fool proof endeavor as stocks themselves do not provide guaranteed returns nor are they insured financial instruments. For this reason, picking conservative stocks is more akin to choosing lower risk stocks. Lower risk stocks sometimes share a few characteristics, some of which include profitability under adverse conditions, strong and proven business models, and legacies of success that help ensure at least medium-term investment stability.

Financial News 02/02/2012

• Forbes: Bribery and corruption on the rise per forensic accountants
• DOL: 367,000 unemployment claims were filed the week ending 01/28/12
• Reuters: Indiana now a right to work state along with 22 others
• WP: American Airlines to cut 13,000 jobs
• BLS: Labor costs increased 1.2% in Q4 2011, more than productivity
• Fox: Congressional house votes to extend Federal worker pay freeze
• MSN: Obama's R.E. refinancing plan unlikely to curtail foreclosures
• LA Times: UCSF Doctor advocates sugar tax due to health concerns
• Bloomberg: Japan may use currency intervention to lower Yen's value

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Financial News

• ADP: 170,000 private jobs were added Jan-Dec. Previous revised down.
• Reuters: New-York reporter scores a 74% income tax via toxic tax combo.
• S&P: Home prices declined 1.3% in November per the Case-Shiller Index
• Bloomberg: 1 million homes estimated to be foreclosed in 2012
• MW: Swt. Crude Oil hovering short of $100/brl, Dollar nearer 2 month low
• Moody's: Uruguayan and Indonesian credit outlook and rating revised up
• UK Guardian: U.K. manufacturing up 2.4%, economy contracts .2%
• BBC: Chinese exports declined 1.7%, imports also down 2.4%